Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam

Authors

  • Stephen Olushola Oladosu
    Department of Geomatics, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, University of Benin, P.M.B. 1154, Edo State, Nigeria
  • Alfred Sunday Alademomi
    Department of Surveying and Geoinformatics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Lagos, P.M.B. 12003, Akoka, Lagos State, Nigeria; Centre for Multidisciplinary Research and Innovation, Suite C59, New Bannex Plaza, Wuze 2, Abuja, Nigeria
  • James Bolarinwa Olaleye
    Department of Surveying and Geoinformatics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Lagos, P.M.B. 12003, Akoka, Lagos State, Nigeria
  • Joseph Olalekan Olusina
    Department of Surveying and Geoinformatics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Lagos, P.M.B. 12003, Akoka, Lagos State, Nigeria
  • Tosin Julius Salami
    Department of Surveying and Geoinformatics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Lagos, P.M.B. 12003, Akoka, Lagos State, Nigeria

Keywords:

ANFIS, Gully Erosion, Ikpoba Dam, Sedimentation

Abstract

The study proposed an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS) model capable of predicting sediment deposited in a dam and sediment loss-in-transit (SLIT) using the potential of a formulated mathematical relation. The input parameters consist of five members viz: the rainfall, the slope, the particle size, the velocity, and the computed total volume of sediment exited from two prominent gullies for 2017, 2018, and 2019. The outputs are the total volume of sediment deposited at the adjoining Ikpoba dam for 2017, 2018, and 2019, respectively. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression model on sediment volume retained all covariates with p<0.05, explaining 93.8% of the variability in the dataset. The multicollinearity effect on the dataset was assessed using the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) which was found not to pose a problem for (VIF<5). The model was validated using the (MSE), the (MAE), and the correlation coefficient (r). The best prediction was obtained as: (RMSE = 0.0423; R2 = 0.947). The predicted volume of sediment was 842,895.8547m3 with an error of -0.3295344% and the predicted volume of SLIT was 57,787.98m3 which is an indication that ANFIS performs satisfactorily in predicting sediment volume for the gullies and the dam respectively

Dimensions

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Published

2023-05-21

How to Cite

Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam. (2023). Journal of the Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences, 5(2), 1028. https://doi.org/10.46481/jnsps.2023.1028

Issue

Volume 5, Issue 2, May 2023

Section

Review Article
Copyright & Licensing

Copyright (c) 2023 Stephen Olushola Oladosu, Alfred Sunday Alademomi , James Bolarinwa Olaleye, Joseph Olalekan Olusina, Tosin Julius Salami

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

How to Cite

Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam. (2023). Journal of the Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences, 5(2), 1028. https://doi.org/10.46481/jnsps.2023.1028

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